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Daniel Hillier

Implied probability 9%+7
24-hour volume$27k
Total volume$76k
Liquidity$76k
Resolves25 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +6 points at 19:10 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Watch Pro Golfer Win BMW iX5 with Hole-in-1 on Video at DP World Tour Event — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Daniel Hillier
0%50%100%9%6 Oct, 00:46 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now9%
8 Oct, 21:13 UTC9%
8 Oct, 20:47 UTC9%
8 Oct, 20:05 UTC9%
8 Oct, 19:10 UTC9%
7 Oct, 21:37 UTC3%
7 Oct, 16:35 UTC3%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC3%
6 Oct, 00:46 UTC2%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Daniel Hillier wins the Open de España presented by Madrid. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake any other golf victory for a win in this event.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 9%
  • No 91%

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