AI / Artificial Intelligence
The market favoured Yes at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$850
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved14 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +23 points at 08:11 UTC, after Engadget: California's new law bans companies from relying on AI to fire workers — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 76% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if any candidate mentions artificial intelligence during the CNN California Governor Debate on September 30, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about firing workers for the actual event that triggers the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%