Mexico
Why it moved: −8 points at 04:45 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Cavan Sullivan Makes History, USMNT vs. Mexico Score, Highlights, Stats and Reaction — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 44% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mexico wins the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup. It resolves to No if any other team wins that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of Mexico's performance in the linked friendly match, but the outcome depends solely on the final standings of the 2027 Gold Cup.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%