Yes
Why it moved: +49 points at 20:46 UTC, after RSS 2.0: Reddit will move to logged-in only as AI eats search traffic — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Reddit or Google officially announces a renewal of their existing agreement before July 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about requiring logins as the resolution trigger, but only an official announcement of a contract renewal counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%