Knoxville, Tennessee
Implied probability 1%−4
24-hour volume$287
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves19 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −56 points at 23:17 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Texas Trolls Johnny Knoxville With 'Jackass' Video After Tennessee Pick on 'College GameDay' — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 57% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if ESPN’s College GameDay Week 7 live show takes place in Knoxville, Tennessee. It resolves to No if that specific broadcast does not occur there. Readers often mistake any appearance by Johnny Knoxville for the required event, but only the location of the official GameDay broadcast matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%