Torey Lovullo
Implied probability 1%−23
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Why it moved: −23 points at 20:02 UTC, after www.espn.com: Source: D-backs signing winningest manager Lovullo to new deal — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 14% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Torey Lovullo leaves his role as manager of the Arizona baseball team or announces he will leave before December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he remains in the position past that date. Readers often mistake the announcement deadline for the actual departure date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%