Aaron Boone
Implied probability 1%−20
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 21% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Aaron Boone leaves his role as Yankees manager or announces he will leave before December 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline, but only actions taken before that specific date in 2026 count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%