Above 3.5%
Why it moved: −3 points at 13:50 UTC, after Bloomberg.com: Starbucks, Chipotle Earnings: Restaurants Lure Customers in a Tough Market — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. reports comparable restaurant sales growth above 3.5% for fiscal 2026. It resolves to No if that specific metric is 3.5% or lower. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about current sales for the final fiscal year result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%