Tencent
Implied probability 92%+91
24-hour volume$37
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 92% |
| 23 Sept, 06:30 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Tencent holds the top rank among Chinese AI models on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) at 10:00 am ET on September 28, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the launch of a payment app for meeting this specific ranking requirement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 92%
- No 8%