In 2026
Implied probability 13%+8
24-hour volume$363
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 16:24 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Anthropic's CEO departs before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if the CEO remains in the role through that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about urging UN leaders for the actual event of the CEO leaving.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%