Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Implied probability 11%−1
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 12 Nov, 17:18 UTC | 11% |
| 12 Nov, 15:33 UTC | 16% |
| 12 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 13% |
| 12 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 19% |
| 11 Nov, 22:52 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 22:25 UTC | 16% |
| 11 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 26% |
| 11 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Nov, 23:50 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 20% |
| 10 Nov, 10:41 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Nov, 09:33 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave or announce his departure after November 6, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this condition. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on whether he is the first cabinet member to leave after that specific date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%