Marco Rubio
Implied probability 20%+15
24-hour volume$33k
Total volume$48k
Liquidity$48k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 20% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 01:02 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 28% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Marco Rubio becomes the first member of Donald Trump’s Cabinet to leave or announce his departure after May 22, 2026. It resolves to No if he remains in office past that date without being the first to exit.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%