Chile
Implied probability 25%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves25 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Oct, 09:06 UTC | 26% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Flávio Bolsonaro wins first place among Brazilian voters living abroad in the 2026 Chilean runoff. The result depends entirely on certified election data from that specific vote count. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about his performance in Brazil rather than the overseas ballot.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 25%
- No 75%