Flávio Bolsonaro
Implied probability 54%−1
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$1.1M
Resolves25 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 53% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 16:58 UTC | 53% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 08:39 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 07:00 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 02:46 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 55% |
| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 07:02 UTC | 60% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Flávio Bolsonaro wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. The outcome is No if he does not win. Readers often mistake current polling data for the final result, but only the actual election winner matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 54%
- No 46%