SDS
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves4 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Srpska Demokratska Stranka - Volja Naroda finishes in third place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to certified results. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day itself rather than the date when results are officially certified.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%