Tom Hardy
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$468
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tom Hardy is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if that specific casting does not occur by that deadline. Readers often mistake other actors' roles or unrelated news stories for a valid resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%