Jack Lowden
Implied probability 44%+1
24-hour volume$336
Total volume$191k
Liquidity$191k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 44% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 45% |
| 1 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 04:37 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 10:37 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Jack Lowden is officially confirmed as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. The outcome is No if he is not cast by that date or if another actor is chosen. Readers often mistake the linked story about Cillian Murphy for relevant casting news, but only Jack Lowden’s confirmation matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 44%
- No 56%