Before 2028
Implied probability 12%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 10 Nov, 18:52 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Nov, 02:00 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 19% |
| 9 Nov, 14:29 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Nov, 14:03 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if credible reports confirm that Joe Biden used Ambien prior to the 2024 presidential debate and these reports are published by designated source agencies before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to "No.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%