BC Conservatives
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 10% |
| 22 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 13% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Conservative Party of B.C. finishes second in the 2026 provincial election based on official certified results. The outcome is No if they do not finish second. Readers often mistake current polling numbers for the final result, but only the certified election results count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%