Harry Kane
Implied probability 95%−1
24-hour volume$94
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves10 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 95% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 94% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Harry Kane finishes in the top three of the official 2026 Ballon d'Or rankings. It resolves to No if he does not reach that position. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his England record for the deciding factor, but only the final Ballon d'Or ranking matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%