Above 76 thousand
Implied probability 82%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves14 May 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 82% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if American Express reports a headcount above 76,000 in fiscal 2026. It resolves to No if the reported headcount is 76,000 or lower. Readers often mistake the current workforce reduction for the final resolution metric instead of the specific fiscal 2026 figure.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 82%
- No 18%