Carlos Alcaraz
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$114
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Carlos Alcaraz holds the top spot on the PIF ATP singles rankings at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%