Carlos Alcaraz
Implied probability 44%+1
24-hour volume$786
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves15 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 43% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles title. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked Japan Open victory for the required event, but only the 2027 Australian Open result counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 44%
- No 56%