Alexander Zverev
Why it moved: +13 points at 16:00 UTC, after Times of India: Alexander Zverev crowned year-end world No. 1 after Alcaraz's shock Shanghai Masters defeat — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 28% |
| 12 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 28% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 28% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 35% |
| 11 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. The outcome depends solely on his victory in this specific event. Readers often mistake the linked headline about him becoming world No. 1 as the resolution criteria, but only winning the Shanghai tournament counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 28%
- No 72%