Before 2030
Implied probability 23%+1
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Drake and Kendrick Lamar release a collaborative song before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if they do not release such a song by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Grammy submissions for the actual condition, but only a joint track between the two artists counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%