Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$28
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 8 Nov, 15:18 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces a run for the 2028 U.S. presidency before January 1, 2027. This announcement must include running for the nomination of any political party. Readers often mistake general speculation or early campaign preparations for an official announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%