Yes
Implied probability 62%+2
24-hour volume$52
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$22k
Resolves2 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 62% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 60% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Democrat wins any statewide election in Texas during 2026. The outcome is No if no Democrat wins such an office in that year. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the nomination period rather than the actual election date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 62%
- No 38%