Yes
Implied probability 20%−2
24-hour volume$301
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 9 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 11:40 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if UK legislation removing Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession becomes law before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked compensation payout for a change in succession status.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%