Lil Baby
Implied probability 99%+2
24-hour volume$3
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 97% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lil Baby releases a new album in 2026. It resolves to No if he does not release a new album during that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about an album announcement for the actual release, but only the confirmed launch date matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%