2
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the official ranked-choice voting count for the 2026 Alaska Senate election finishes in exactly two rounds. It resolves to No if the count requires more than two rounds or fewer than two rounds. Readers often mistake the date of the final certification for the deadline, but the resolution depends strictly on the number of tabulation rounds in the official result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%