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EPA

Implied probability 13%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
How the odds moved · EPA
0%50%100%13%30 Sept, 21:16 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
30 Sept, 21:16 UTC13%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the Environmental Protection Agency is eliminated before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if the agency remains in existence on or after that date. Readers often mistake the lawsuit headline for an elimination event, but only the actual dissolution of the EPA counts toward resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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