Félix Tshisekedi
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2035
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Félix Tshisekedi leaves office before any other listed leader. It resolves to No if he remains in power while another listed leader departs first. Readers often mistake the source of truth, focusing on rumors or opposition claims rather than the official confirmation of a leader's departure.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%