Elon Musk
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk appears in the Superman movie before December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the release of a trailer for confirmation that he has been cast.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%