Above 82%
Implied probability 87%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves27 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 87% |
| 7 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 87% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if American Airlines Group Inc. reports a passenger load factor above 82% for fiscal year 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as calendar year 2026 instead of the company's specific fiscal year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 87%
- No 13%