Jon Ossoff
Why it moved: −4 points at 01:01 UTC, after The Hill News: Ossoff commits to 6-year Senate term amid 2028 speculation — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 14 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 61% |
| 14 Oct, 01:01 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Oct, 00:22 UTC | 66% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jon Ossoff announces a presidential campaign for the 2028 Democratic nomination before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake general speculation or re-election bids for a formal presidential announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%