Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Implied probability 67%+8
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$151k
Liquidity$151k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 55% |
| 1 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 58% |
| 30 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 62% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez formally announces a campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 before January 1, 2028. The outcome is No if she does not make this specific announcement by that deadline. Readers often mistake general political speculation or rumors for an official campaign announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%