Tate McRae
Why it moved: −37 points at 19:23 UTC, after Variety: Ella Langley Retakes No. 1 on Hot 100 From Taylor Swift; Tate McRae’s ‘Housewife,’ Rodrigo/Roan ‘Expectations’ and Zach Bryan/Lana Del Rey ‘Lies’ All Bow Big — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 26 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 24% |
| 25 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 61% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Tate McRae has a number-one song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not reach that position within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story's chart performance as the final result, but only the specific Billboard Hot 100 ranking in the designated issue counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%