Mariah Carey
Implied probability 94%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves21 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 6 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 94% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Mariah Carey must have a song reach number one on the Billboard Hot 100 by the chart dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is Yes if this milestone occurs within that timeframe and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%