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Ed Sheeran

Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves21 Dec 2026

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Ed Sheeran has a number-one song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the chart dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not reach that position by that specific date. Readers often mistake the release date of a single for the resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

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