Alex Warren
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves21 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 19 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Alex Warren has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of Dec 26, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not achieve this ranking by that specific date. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the calendar year rather than the specific Billboard issue date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%