Young Thug
Implied probability 13%−2
24-hour volume$104
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves27 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 20 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 13% |
| 19 Oct, 22:04 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Young Thug releases an album that reaches number one on the Billboard 200 chart by December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not achieve this milestone within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the release date of a new album for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%