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Kendrick Lamar

Implied probability 25%−9
24-hour volume$116
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves27 Dec 2026

Why it moved: −9 points at 05:05 UTC, after Pitchfork: No Rest for the Wicked — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Kendrick Lamar
0%50%100%25%23 Sept, 04:06 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now25%
24 Sept, 05:05 UTC25%
23 Sept, 04:06 UTC34%

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What counts

Kendrick Lamar must release an album that reaches number one on the Billboard 200 chart by December 26, 2026. The outcome depends solely on his personal discography and its performance on that specific chart. Readers often mistake any mention of Kendrick in news headlines or collaborations as a win for the Yes outcome.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 25%
  • No 75%

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