NewsMarkets

Markets

Lana Del Rey

Implied probability 21%+3
24-hour volume$62
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves26 Dec 2026

Why it moved: +3 points at 12:01 UTC, after NME: Watch Lana Del Rey debut ‘White Feather Hawk Tail Deer Hunter’ from ‘Stove’ at Singapore Grand Prix — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Lana Del Rey
0%50%100%21%12 Oct, 11:48 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now21%
13 Oct, 12:01 UTC21%
12 Oct, 11:48 UTC18%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The outcome is Yes if Lana Del Rey has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not meet this condition by that date. Readers often mistake the release of a new track or its debut at an event as sufficient, but only its ranking on the specified Billboard chart matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 21%
  • No 79%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market