Chappell Roan
Implied probability 97%+5
24-hour volume$150
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves26 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 97% |
| 18 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 95% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 94% |
| 17 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 76% |
| 16 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 92% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Chappell Roan must have a song in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if this condition is met and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the release date of a single for the chart eligibility deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%