Lil Baby
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves26 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 22:04 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lil Baby appears on a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this criteria by that specific date. Readers often mistake the release date of his new album as the deadline, but only the Billboard chart ranking matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%