By 2030
Implied probability 69%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves31 Dec 2031
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 12:38 UTC | 62% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if India cuts the carbon emissions per unit of its GDP by at least 45% compared to 2005 levels by the year 2030. It resolves to No if that specific reduction target is not met within the deadline. Readers often mistake this for a total emissions cap rather than an intensity metric relative to economic output.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 69%
- No 31%