Juan Ciscomani
Implied probability 17%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the person elected and sworn in as the U.S. Representative for Arizona's 6th district starting in January 2027 is a Republican. The outcome depends on the official party affiliation of the individual who holds that office at the start of the term, not on campaign promises or primary results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 83%