Greg Abbott
Implied probability 79%−2
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$361k
Liquidity$361k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 30 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 78% |
| 29 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 78% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 78% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 16:47 UTC | 80% |
| 29 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 80% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 79% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 81% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 82% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 81% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 80% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 81% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 75% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 77% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 76% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 72% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as Texas governor after the 2026 election. It resolves to No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the date of the linked emergency declaration for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 79%
- No 21%