Byron Donalds
Implied probability 79%+6
24-hour volume$57k
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$1.6M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 24 Sept, 18:56 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Sept, 18:02 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Sept, 17:34 UTC | 77% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 13:17 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 76% |
| 22 Sept, 07:00 UTC | 80% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Byron Donalds wins the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election and is inaugurated as governor. It resolves to No if he does not win or is not inaugurated. Readers often mistake campaign activity, such as removing mentions from a website, for the final outcome rather than waiting for the official inauguration.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 79%
- No 21%