Democratic party
Implied probability 88%−3
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$144k
Liquidity$144k
Resolves1 Feb 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 12 Nov, 14:38 UTC | 88% |
| 12 Nov, 13:43 UTC | 88% |
| 12 Nov, 12:41 UTC | 89% |
| 12 Nov, 12:04 UTC | 88% |
| 12 Nov, 10:55 UTC | 90% |
| 12 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 88% |
| 12 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 91% |
| 12 Nov, 05:55 UTC | 90% |
| 12 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 91% |
| 12 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 88% |
| 12 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 90% |
| 12 Nov, 00:39 UTC | 90% |
| 12 Nov, 00:25 UTC | 90% |
| 11 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 90% |
| 11 Nov, 20:35 UTC | 91% |
| 11 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 89% |
| 11 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 91% |
| 11 Nov, 18:52 UTC | 89% |
| 11 Nov, 17:15 UTC | 90% |
| 11 Nov, 16:38 UTC | 89% |
| 11 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 91% |
| 11 Nov, 15:21 UTC | 89% |
| 11 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 90% |
| 11 Nov, 11:31 UTC | 89% |
| 11 Nov, 10:53 UTC | 92% |
| 11 Nov, 09:02 UTC | 91% |
| 11 Nov, 08:56 UTC | 92% |
| 11 Nov, 06:42 UTC | 91% |
| 11 Nov, 05:35 UTC | 89% |
| 11 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 91% |
| 11 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 89% |
| 11 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 89% |
| 11 Nov, 00:04 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 22:47 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 87% |
| 10 Nov, 14:48 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 13:57 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Nov, 09:59 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 89% |
| 10 Nov, 06:02 UTC | 87% |
| 10 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 02:27 UTC | 88% |
| 10 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 87% |
| 10 Nov, 00:53 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 23:11 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Nov, 22:58 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 16:19 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 14:36 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 10:03 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 08:30 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 08:16 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 05:43 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Nov, 02:00 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 89% |
| 8 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 88% |
| 8 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 88% |
| 8 Nov, 19:44 UTC | 88% |
| 8 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Nov, 18:03 UTC | 89% |
| 8 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 88% |
| 8 Nov, 17:29 UTC | 88% |
| 8 Nov, 16:54 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 89% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 87% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Democrats hold a majority in the U.S. Senate after the 2028 elections. The outcome is No if they do not hold that majority. Readers often mistake the linked news story about current race dynamics for the final election result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%